{
  "ok": true,
  "data": {
    "entry": {
      "id": "counter-evidence",
      "kind": "method",
      "kindLabel": "Method",
      "title": "Ask for counter-evidence before confidence",
      "body": "A model that only explains why its answer is right will happily polish a mistake. Ask it to list the strongest evidence against its answer before it scores confidence. The missing objection is often the thing that saves you.",
      "tag": "reliability",
      "date": "2026 · 06 · 18",
      "publishedAt": "2026-06-18",
      "note": "Confidence after counter-evidence is more useful than confidence after a sales pitch.",
      "insight": {
        "aha": "The model is usually best at self-correction before it has been rewarded for sounding certain.",
        "tryThis": "Ask for the answer, the strongest objection, what evidence would change the answer, and then confidence.",
        "watchFor": [
          "Objections that restate the answer instead of challenging it",
          "Confidence that stays high after missing evidence appears",
          "A final answer that ignores its own counter-evidence"
        ],
        "labId": "counter-evidence"
      },
      "extended": [
        "The useful move is not asking the model to be uncertain. The useful move is forcing it to search for the best case against itself while the answer is still provisional.",
        "A simple pattern: draft the answer, list disconfirming evidence, name what would change the answer, then assign confidence. The confidence number becomes attached to evidence quality instead of verbal smoothness.",
        "This is especially helpful for research summaries, legal-ish interpretation, data diagnosis, and anything where one missing constraint can flip the conclusion."
      ],
      "url": "https://tips.platphormnews.com/entries/counter-evidence"
    }
  }
}